The Federal Reserve is focusing very intently on the US labour market for signs that its rate hiking cycle is starting to cool demand. The way the market has been…
There is a longstanding Wall Street saying which says to ‘Sell in May, and go away’. This is because summer has a reputation for being a weak time for US…
What is VIX? Most people know about the VIX. This is a great tool to show the market’s expectations of future volatility. The VIX is a measure of a 30-day…
We are now in the Fed’s blackout period ahead of next week’s rate decision, and the US ISM Services print this week sends a message that the US economy is…
A recent opinion piece in Bloomberg highlighted that the latest budget deal successfully suspended the debt ceiling, averting a potential debt default. However, it also pointed out that this measure does little…
Morgan Stanley expects a sharp contraction in corporate earnings to weigh on US equities this year, and it sees the S&P500 lower at 3,900 by year-end. However, Goldman Sachs are…
Last week, Nvidia witnessed a significant surge in its shares, experiencing a nearly 25% increase on Thursday. This surge was primarily driven by optimistic market sentiment surrounding the potential for…
Calculating the daily expected move of the S&P500 for the month ahead The VIX is the so-called ‘fear index’ that traders use to evaluate how concerned investors are. The VIX…
Going into this Fed interest rate meeting, market expectations are that the Fed will hike by 25bps. Short-term interest rate markets are pricing in a 95% chance of a 25bps…
The Fed meets on May 3 and there is an increasingly bearish attitude to stocks and the prospects of further gains in stocks are viewed nervously. Despite these bearish projections,…