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Seasonal weakness for the USD ahead?

Seasonal weakness for the USD ahead?

Seasonal weakness for the USD ahead?

in Seasonal Insights

The USD has a period of seasonal weakness around the start of June. Over the last 10 years it has fallen 7 times between May 31 and June 10. The average fall has been -0.93% and the maximum fall has -2.82%. Will the USD fall lower at the start of June again?

The USD is looking increasingly like it is close to peak bullishness. The latest CPI print showed a print above expectations for the headline and core, but it was still below the previous reading.

It is unclear whether the US has passed peak inflation but, if it has, the USD could move lower in June.

However slowing global growth can also cause the USD to gain, so the outlook for the USD is far from clear.

Major Trade Risks: Further USD gains on persistent US inflation pressures and USD gains on slowing global growth fears could invalidate this outlook.

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Legal Forms & Documents

Risk Warnings

Cookies Policy

Disclaimer: Any opinions made may be personal to the author and may not reflect the opinions of HYCM. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice. This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. HYCM makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied by an employee of HYCM, a third party or otherwise. Past performance is not an indication of possible future performance. Without the approval of HYCM, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.

Legal Information: HYCM is the trading name of Henyep Capital Markets (UK) Limited, HYCM (Europe) Ltd, HYCM Limited and Henyep Capital Markets (DIFC) Limited for which the Henyep Capital Markets group is holding company and its assets are a controlling equity interest in them.

* Cryptocurrencies are not available for trading under HYCM (Europe) Limited and Henyep Capital Markets (UK) Limited (retail clients only).

*Any opinions made in this material are personal to the author and do not reflect the opinions of HYCM. This material is considered a marketing communication and should not be construed as containing investment advice or an investment recommendation, or an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee of or prediction of future performance. HYCM does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation. HYCM makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or other information supplied by an employee of HYCM, a third party or otherwise.

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