From a medium-term perspective, the outlook for gold should be strong. With US rates expected to at least pause this year (and STIR markets anticipating rate cuts), the path for…
‘Sell in May, and go away!’ It’s a well-known Wall Street saying. If you are new to the markets, or even if you are more seasoned, it can be easy…
Many of you know that the key to jumping on long trends is to correctly identify major macro narratives. The fundamental shifts that take place across the macro landscape shape…
Sometimes very simple technical tools can be very helpful when you are trading, especially when you have a clear idea of the underlying macro picture. Large moves in most markets…
High beta currencies, like the Australian Dollar and the New Zealand Dollar, tend to fare badly when markets are risk off. However, the NZD is one of the worst-performing currencies…
Sometimes the medium-term picture is uncertain for financial markets. Right now is one of those times. Has US inflation peaked? Too early to tell. Is the US housing sector showing…
The ‘magazine cover indicator’ is the belief that by the time an instrument reaches the front page of a major magazine cover it is a contrarian indicator. So, if the…
One of the major weaknesses of trading key macro fundamentals is that markets can move violently in one direction in a seemingly ‘irrational’ way. So, if you have a bias…
Sometimes there is an event that eclipses the normal ebb and flow of market dynamics. Think of the Black Friday sales, or Easter, Christmas, fireworks night, or even Valentine’s day.…
Going into the US midterm elections analysts were mostly split between three different positions: Those analysts who pointed to the strong seasonal pattern in US stocks post the US midterm…